Hydrologic Conditions

Target Flows and Program Goals

One of the goals of the Program is to achieve target flows based on the current hydrologic condition of the Platte River. This hydrologic condition is calculated using a formula contained in the Program's Water Plan.

For more information, see these documents:

 

December 1, 2025 - February 28, 2026

December 2025 - February 2026
Normal

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1800 CFS
  • February 15 - 28 : 3350 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.30

The final hydrologic condition designation for December 2025-February 2026 is NORMAL based on a calculated index of 0.296 (DRY < 0.25 < NORMAL).

December 1, 2025 - February 28, 2026

December 2025 - February 2026
Normal

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1800 CFS
  • February 15 - 28 : 3350 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.30

The final hydrologic condition designation for December 2025-February 2026 is NORMAL based on a calculated index of 0.296 (DRY < 0.25 < NORMAL).

October 1 - November 30, 2025

October-November 2025
Normal

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 1800 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 1800 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.46

The final hydrologic condition designation for October-November 2025 is NORMAL based on a calculated index of 0.458 (0.25 < NORMAL < 0.67).  The index value did not change with the inclusion of the Monthly PDSI data for September.

October 1 - November 30, 2025

October-November 2025
Normal

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 1800 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 1800 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.46

The temporary hydrologic condition designation for October-November 2025 is NORMAL based on a calculated index of 0.458 (0.25 < NORMAL < 0.67).

August 1 - September 30, 2025

August-September 2025
Dry

Target Flows

  • August 1 - 31 : 800 CFS
  • September 1 - 15 : 800 CFS
  • September 16 - 30 : 600 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.18

The final hydrologic condition designation for August-September 2025 is DRY based on a calculated index of 0.184 (DRY < 0.29).  The index value increased from 0.176 to 0.184 with the inclusion of the Monthly PDSI data for July.

July 1-31, 2025

July 2025
Dry

Target Flows

  • July 1 - 31 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.20

The final hydrologic condition designation for July 2025 is DRY based on a calculated index of 0.203 (DRY < 0.31).  The index value increased from 0.199 to 0.203 with the inclusion of Monthly PDSI data for June.

June 1-30, 2025

June 2025
Dry

Target Flows

  • June 1 - 20 : 800 CFS
  • June 21 - 30 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.20

The final hydrologic condition designation for June 2025 is DRY based on a calculated index of 0.195 (DRY < 0.3).  The calculated index was reduced from 0.198 to 0.195 with the inclusion of Monthly PDSI data for May and revised provisional flow data for May at the Grand Island gage.

May 1-31, 2025

May 2025
Dry

Target Flows

  • May 1 - 10 : 1700 CFS
  • May 11 - 19 : 800 CFS
  • May 20 - 26 : 800 CFS
  • May 27 - 31 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.07

March 1 - April 30, 2025

March-April 2025
Dry

Target Flows

  • March 1 - 15 : 2250 CFS
  • March 16 - 22 : 1200 CFS
  • March 23 - 31 : 1700 CFS
  • April 1 - 30 : 1700 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.21

The Monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) values for February 2025 reduced the calculated Hydrologic Conditions Index from 0.221 to 0.207 so the Final Hydrologic Condition remained "DRY" (HC Index < 0.25).

December 1, 2024 - February 28, 2025

December 2024-February 2025
Normal

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1800 CFS
  • February 15 - 28 : 3350 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.30

October 1 - November 30, 2024

October-November 2024
Dry

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 1300 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 1300 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 600 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.20

The Monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) values for September 2024 increased the calculated Hydrologic Conditions Index from 0.174 to 0.202 but the Final Hydrologic Condition remained "DRY" (HC Index < 0.25).

August 1 - September 30, 2024

August-September 2024
Dry

Target Flows

  • August 1 - 31 : 800 CFS
  • September 1 - 15 : 800 CFS
  • September 16 - 30 : 600 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.23

The Monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for July 2024 increased the calculated Hydrologic Conditions Index from 0.116 to 0.233 but the Final Hydrologic Condition remained "DRY" (HC Index < 0.29).

July 1-31, 2024

July 2024
Normal

Target Flows

  • July 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.31

The Monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for June 2024 reduced the calculated Hydrologic Conditions Index from 0.460 to 0.310 but the Final Hydrologic Condition remained "NORMAL" (HC "DRY" only if HC Index < 0.31).

June 1-30, 2024

June 2024
Normal

Target Flows

  • June 1 - 20 : 3400 CFS
  • June 21 - 30 : 1200 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.56

The Monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for May 2024 reduced the calculated Hydrologic Conditions Index from 0.574 to 0.561 but the Final Hydrologic Condition remained "NORMAL" (HC Index between 0.3 and 0.7).

May 1-31, 2024

May 2024
Normal

Target Flows

  • May 1 - 10 : 2400 CFS
  • May 11 - 19 : 1200 CFS
  • May 20 - 26 : 3400 CFS
  • May 27 - 31 : 3400 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.34

March 1 - April 30, 2024

March-April 2024
Normal

Target Flows

  • March 1 - 15 : 3350 CFS
  • March 16 - 22 : 1800 CFS
  • March 23 - 31 : 2400 CFS
  • April 1 - 30 : 2400 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.64

The Monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for February 2024 reduced the calculated Hydrologic Conditions Index from 0.788 to 0.640 but the Final Hydrologic Condition remained "NORMAL" (HC Index > 0.25).

December 1, 2023 - February 29, 2024

December 2023-February 2024
Normal

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1800 CFS
  • February 15 - 29 : 3350 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.49

October 1 - November 30, 2023

October-November 2023
Normal

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 1800 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 1800 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.51

August 1 - September 30, 2023

August-September 2023
Dry

Target Flows

  • August 1 - 31 : 800 CFS
  • September 1 - 15 : 800 CFS
  • September 16 - 30 : 600 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.11

July 1-31, 2023

July 2023
Normal

Target Flows

  • July 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.60

June 1-30, 2023

June 2023
Dry

Target Flows

  • June 1 - 20 : 800 CFS
  • June 21 - 30 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.29

The monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) values for May reduced the hydrologic condition index from 0.347 to 0.288 and changed the final hydrologic condition from "NORMAL" to "DRY"

May 1-31, 2023

May 2023
Dry

Target Flows

  • May 1 - 10 : 1700 CFS
  • May 11 - 19 : 800 CFS
  • May 20 - 26 : 800 CFS
  • May 27 - 31 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.21

March 1 - April 30, 2023

March-April 2023
Dry

Target Flows

  • March 1 - 15 : 2250 CFS
  • March 16 - 22 : 1200 CFS
  • March 23 - 31 : 1700 CFS
  • April 1 - 30 : 1700 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.12

The monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) values for February reduced the hydrologic condition index from 0.433 to 0.118 and changed the final hydrologic condition from "NORMAL" to "DRY"

December 1, 2022 - February 28, 2023

December 2022-February 2023
Dry

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 600 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 600 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1200 CFS
  • February 15 - 28 : 2250 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.22

October 1 - November 30, 2022

October-November 2022
Dry

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 1300 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 1300 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 600 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.02

August 1 - September 30, 2022

August-September 2022
Dry

Target Flows

  • August 1 - 31 : 800 CFS
  • September 1 - 15 : 800 CFS
  • September 16 - 30 : 600 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.10

July 1-31, 2022

July 2022
Dry

Target Flows

  • July 1 - 31 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.14

June 1-30, 2022

June 2022
Dry

Target Flows

  • June 1 - 20 : 800 CFS
  • June 21 - 30 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.23

May 1-31, 2022

May 2022
Dry

Target Flows

  • May 1 - 10 : 1700 CFS
  • May 11 - 19 : 800 CFS
  • May 20 - 26 : 800 CFS
  • May 27 - 31 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.07

March 1 - April 30, 2022

March-April 2022
Dry

Target Flows

  • March 1 - 15 : 2250 CFS
  • March 16 - 22 : 1200 CFS
  • March 23 - 31 : 1700 CFS
  • April 1 - 30 : 1700 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.12

The monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) values for February reduced the hydrologic condition index from 0.432 to 0.118 and changed the final hydrologic condition from "NORMAL" to "DRY"

December 1, 2021 - February 28, 2022

December 2021-February 2022
Normal

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1800 CFS
  • February 15 - 28 : 3350 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.42

October 1 - November 30, 2021

October-November 2021
Normal

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 1800 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 1800 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.30

August 1 - September 30, 2021

August-September 2021
Normal

Target Flows

  • August 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS
  • September 1 - 15 : 1200 CFS
  • September 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.36

The monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) values for July increased the hydrologic condition index from 0.216 to 0.355 and changed the final hydrologic condition from "DRY" to "NORMAL"

July 1-31, 2021

July 2021
Dry

Target Flows

  • July 1 - 31 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.30

The monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) values for June reduced the hydrologic condition index from 0.433 to 0.295 and changed the final hydrologic condition from "NORMAL" to "DRY"

June 1-30, 2021

June 2021
Normal

Target Flows

  • June 1 - 20 : 3400 CFS
  • June 21 - 30 : 1200 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.43

May 1-31, 2021

May 2021
Dry

Target Flows

  • May 1 - 10 : 1700 CFS
  • May 11 - 19 : 800 CFS
  • May 20 - 26 : 800 CFS
  • May 27 - 31 : 800 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.28

March 1 - April 30, 2021

March-April 2021
Dry

Target Flows

  • March 1 - 15 : 2250 CFS
  • March 16 - 22 : 1200 CFS
  • March 23 - 31 : 1700 CFS
  • April 1 - 30 : 1700 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.22

The monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) values for February reduced the hydrologic condition index to 0.218 and changed the final hydrologic condition from "NORMAL" to "DRY"

December 1, 2020 - February 28, 2021

December-January-February 2020-2021
Normal

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1800 CFS
  • February 15 - 28 : 3350 CFS

October 1 - November 30, 2020

October-November 2020
Normal

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 1800 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 1800 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS

August 1 - September 30, 2020

August-September 2020
Normal

Target Flows

  • August 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS
  • September 1 - 15 : 1200 CFS
  • September 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.54

July 1-31, 2020

July 2020
Normal

Target Flows

  • July 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS

June 1-30, 2020

June 2020
Wet

Target Flows

  • June 1 - 20 : 3400 CFS
  • June 21 - 30 : 1200 CFS

May 1 - June 1, 2020

May 2020
Wet

Target Flows

  • May 1 - 10 : 2400 CFS
  • May 11 - 19 : 1200 CFS
  • May 20 - 26 : 4900 CFS
  • May 27 - 31 : 3400 CFS
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.92

March 1 - April 30, 2020

March-April 2020
Normal

Target Flows

  • March 1 - 15 : 3350 CFS
  • March 16 - 22 : 1800 CFS
  • March 23 - 31 : 2400 CFS
  • April 1 - 30 : 2400 CFS

December 1, 2019 - February 29, 2020

December-January-February 2020
Normal

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1800 CFS
  • February 15 - 29 : 3350 CFS

October 1 - November 30, 2019

October-November 2019
Wet

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 2400 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 2400 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS

August 1 - September 30, 2019

August-September 2019
Normal

Target Flows

  • August 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS
  • September 1 - 15 : 1200 CFS
  • September 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS

July 1-31, 2019

July 2019
Normal

Target Flows

  • July 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS

June 1-30, 2019

June 2019
Wet

Target Flows

  • June 1 - 20 : 3400 CFS
  • June 21 - 30 : 1200 CFS

May 1-31, 2019

May 2019
Wet

Target Flows

  • May 1 - 10 : 2400 CFS
  • May 11 - 19 : 1200 CFS
  • May 20 - 26 : 4900 CFS
  • May 27 - 31 : 3400 CFS

March 1 - April 30, 2019

March-April 2018
Normal

Target Flows

  • March 1 - 15 : 3350 CFS
  • March 16 - 22 : 1800 CFS
  • March 23 - 31 : 2400 CFS
  • April 1 - 30 : 2400 CFS

December 1, 2018 - February 28, 2019

December 2018 to February 2019
Normal

Target Flows

  • December 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • January 1 - 31 : 1000 CFS
  • February 1 - 14 : 1800 CFS
  • February 15 - 28 : 3350 CFS

October 1 - November 30, 2018

October and November 2018
Normal

Target Flows

  • October 1 - 31 : 1800 CFS
  • November 1 - 15 : 1800 CFS
  • November 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS

August 1 - September 30, 2018

August and September 2018
Normal

Target Flows

  • August 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS
  • September 1 - 15 : 1200 CFS
  • September 16 - 30 : 1000 CFS

Variables and Values

  1. The mean July Palmer Drought Severity Index for two climate stations in Nebraska (NCDC Nebraska Divisions 5 and 8) was 1.32 equivalent to 45.3% of the 1947-1994 July conditions.

Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.55

For this period, the threshold index value is 0.29 for "normal" conditions. The current index value is greater than this and constitutes "NORMAL" conditions.
 
Note that for the August-September period, there are only "dry" and "normal" designations because "wet" targets are the same as "normal" targets for this period.

Hydrologic Conditions Calculation
Hydrologic Conditions Calculation: (0.464 * 0.453) + (0.404 * 0.445) + 0.061=0.451

July 1-31, 2018

July 2018
Normal

Target Flows

  • July 1 - 31 : 1200 CFS

June 1-30, 2018

June 2018
Normal

Target Flows

  • June 1 - 20 : 3400 CFS
  • June 21 - 30 : 1200 CFS

Variables and Values

  1. To set the hydrologic condition for June, an index of conditions is computed using four Platte basin variables. These variables and their corresponding values were as follows:

    1. The mean May streamflow in the Platte River at Grand Island was 1,883 cfs (provisional USGS data), or at the 62.6 percentile level of 1947-1994 April flows.
    2. The mean May Palmer Drought Severity Index for four zones (NCDC climate divisions Colorado #1, Wyoming #8, and Nebraska #1 and #7) was 2.13* equivalent to the 81.7 percentile level of 1947-1994 May conditions.
    3. The mean May streamflow in the South Platte River at Julesburg (CO-NE stateline) was 412 cfs (provisional data), equivalent to 59.9 percentile of 1947-1994 May flows.
    4. The April 1 percent-of-normal snowpack in the North Platte Basin of Wyoming* (seven specific NRCS locations) was 101.4% of normal, equivalent to the 58.3 percentile level of 1947-1994 conditions. 
Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.66

For this period, the threshold index value is 0.30 for "normal" conditions and 0.70 for "wet" conditions. The current index value is greater than 0.30 and less than 0.70 and constitutes "???" conditions.

*based on temporary weekly PDSI data, to be updated when monthly PDSI data is available.

Hydrologic Conditions Calculation
Hydrologic Conditions Index = (0.648 * 0.626) + (0.121 * 0.817) + (0.023 * 0.599) + (0.082 * 0.583) + 0.097

May 1-31, 2018

May 2018
Normal

Target Flows

  • May 1 - 10 : 2400 CFS
  • May 11 - 19 : 1200 CFS
  • May 20 - 26 : 3400 CFS
  • May 27 - 31 : 3400 CFS

Variables and Values

  1. The mean April streamflow in the Platte River at Grand Island was 2,055 cfs (provisional USGS data), or at the 62.9 percentile level of 1947-1994 April flows.

Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.56

The threshold index value is 0.30 for "normal" conditions and 0.70 for "wet" conditions. The current index value is greater than 0.30 and less than 0.70 and constitutes "NORMAL" condition.

Hydrologic Conditions Calculation
(0.601 * 0.629) + (0.271 * 0.257) + (0.031 * 0.687) + (0.252 * 0.622) - 0.065

March 1 - April 30, 2018

March-April 2018
Normal

Target Flows

  • March 1 - 15 : 3350 CFS
  • March 16 - 22 : 1800 CFS
  • March 23 - 31 : 2400 CFS
  • April 1 - 30 : 2400 CFS

Variables and Values

  1. The mean February streamflow for the Platte River near Grand Island gage (provisional USGS data) was 1,710* cubic feet per second, equivalent to the 51.3 percentile level of 1947-1994 February conditions. (*The USGS streamflow gage at Grand Island reported "ICE" conditions for the entirety of February.  Data from the Overton gage was used as a surrogate)

Hydrologic Conditions Index
0.55

For this period, the threshold index value is 0.25 for "normal" conditions. The current index value is less than this and constitutes "NORMAL" conditions.
 
Note that for the March-April period, there are only "dry" and "normal" designations because "wet" targets are the same as "normal" targets for this period.

Hydrologic Conditions Calculation
(0.120 * 0.513) + (0.662 * 0.456) + (0.198 * 0.971) - 0.011